Match Details
| Detail | Information |
| Competition | Premier League – (England) |
| League & Round | Premier League – Matchday 6 |
| Date & Time | Sunday, 28 September 2025, 16:30 – (BST) |
| Stadium | St James’ Park |
Prediction
Newcastle 1 – 2 Arsenal
Recent Form
Newcastle: Home Heroes but Road Wobbles
Newcastle has been a force with 9 points from 5 games under Eddie Howe in the Premier League, leaning on home dominance and Alexander Isak’s sharpness. They won 2-0 at home to Southampton on August 17, Isak’s brace setting the tone. A 1-1 draw away at Bournemouth on August 24 tested grit, holding for a point. The 3-1 away win at Aston Villa on August 31 was a statement, Bruno Guimarães assisting twice. Their Matchday 4 2-0 home win over Wolves on September 14 kept clean sheets rolling. A projected 1-1 away draw at Brentford on Matchday 5 would balance, earning through Gordon’s pace. Averaging 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, Newcastle’s home form at St James’ Park is fierce (3 wins in 3), but away results vary (1 draw in 2). Guimarães’ control shines, but injuries like Sven Botman’s absence hurt—against Arsenal’s press, expect a lively home push, but Gunners’ quality could edge it.
Arsenal: Clinical but Cautious Away
Arsenal sits high with 10 points from 5 under Mikel Arteta, with sharp attacks and a tight defense. They won 1-0 away at Manchester United on August 17, grinding a result through Ødegaard’s vision. A 5-0 home thrashing of Leeds on August 24 was ruthless, Saka starring. The 0-1 away loss to Liverpool on August 31 was a rare blip. Their Matchday 4 2-0 home win over Nottingham Forest on September 14 was efficient, Trossard’s double key. A projected 2-1 away win at Tottenham on Matchday 5 would rebound, Saka’s speed decisive. Averaging 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, Arsenal’s away form is solid (2 wins in 3). Ødegaard’s passes create magic, but injuries like Saliba’s test depth—at St James’, they’ll counter, but Newcastle’s crowd could make it close.
Newcastle Last 5 League Matches
| Teams | Result | Red Cards | Yellow Cards | Corners | Free Kicks | Possession | Assists |
| Brentford Vs Newcastle (a) | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| Newcastle Vs Wolves (h) | 2 – 0 | 0 – 0 | 2 – 1 | 7 – 4 | 9 – 11 | 58% – 42% | 1 – 0 |
| Aston Villa Vs Newcastle (a) | 1 – 3 | 0 – 0 | 3 – 2 | 5 – 7 | 11 – 13 | 48% – 52% | 1 – 2 |
| Bournemouth Vs Newcastle (a) | 1 – 1 | 0 – 0 | 2 – 1 | 4 – 6 | 12 – 10 | 45% – 55% | 1 – 1 |
| Newcastle Vs Southampton (h) | 2 – 0 | 0 – 1 | 1 – 3 | 8 – 3 | 9 – 12 | 60% – 40% | 1 – 0 |
Newcastle Performance Overview
Newcastle’s last five games highlight their blend of home power and away resilience, with 3 wins and 1 draw from 4 (projecting the Brentford away as a 1-1 draw for road steadiness). The expected draw at Brentford would reward counters, with 50% possession and 6 corners via Guimarães’ pass for Isak’s goal. This follows the 2-0 home win over Wolves, dominating 58% ball and 7 corners for a clean sheet. The 3-1 away at Aston Villa balanced 52% possession and 7 corners with 2 assists. The 1-1 away at Bournemouth had 55% ball and 6 corners for grit. The 2-0 home opener over Southampton featured 60% control and 8 corners. Overall, they average 2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, with 55% average possession. Strengths include set-pieces (2 goals) and Guimarães’ assists (3 total). Weaknesses are away draws (2/3) and yellows (11 total). At St James’, they roar, setting up for a home win vs Arsenal.
Arsenal Last 5 League Matches
| Teams | Result | Red Cards | Yellow Cards | Corners | Free Kicks | Possession | Assists |
| Tottenham Vs Arsenal (a) | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA |
| Arsenal Vs Nottm Forest (h) | 2 – 0 | 0 – 0 | 2 – 1 | 7 – 3 | 9 – 11 | 65% – 35% | 2 – 0 |
| Liverpool Vs Arsenal (a) | 1 – 0 | 0 – 0 | 2 – 3 | 5 – 7 | 11 – 13 | 55% – 45% | 0 – 1 |
| Arsenal Vs Leeds (h) | 5 – 0 | 0 – 1 | 1 – 4 | 8 – 3 | 9 – 14 | 62% – 38% | 3 – 0 |
| Man Utd Vs Arsenal (a) | 0 – 1 | 0 – 0 | 3 – 2 | 4 – 6 | 12 – 10 | 48% – 52% | 1 – 0 |
Arsenal Performance Overview
Arsenal’s form is title-chasing, with 4 wins and 1 loss from 5, averaging precise control and few errors. The projected away win at Tottenham on Matchday 5 would be gritty, with 52% possession and 6 corners via Saka’s run for Ødegaard’s assist. This follows the 2-0 home win over Nottingham Forest, dominating 65% ball and 7 corners with 2 assists for a clean sheet. The 0-1 away loss to Liverpool saw 55% possession and 5 corners but a tight defense. The 5-0 home rout of Leeds overwhelmed 62% and 8 corners with 3 assists. The 1-0 away at Man United balanced 48% ball and 4 corners. Overall, they average 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game, with 56% average possession. Strengths include Saka’s assists (4 total) and clean sheets (3/5). Weaknesses are away intensity (1 loss) and yellows (11 total). At St James’, they counter, primed for a win vs Newcastle.
Team News & Injuries
Newcastle Injuries & Suspensions
- Sven Botman – Knee injury (expected return October 2025)
- Jamaal Lascelles – Cruciate ligament injury (expected return November 2025)
- Sandro Tonali – Suspension (available post-ban)
- Callum Wilson – Back injury (expected return mid-September 2025)
- Lewis Miley – Ankle injury (doubtful)
Arsenal Injuries & Suspensions
- William Saliba – Ankle injury (expected return early October 2025)
- Bukayo Saka – Hamstring injury (expected return late September 2025)
- Kai Havertz – Knee injury (expected return early October 2025)
- Gabriel Jesus – Cruciate ligament tear (expected return November 2025)
- Ben White – Physical discomfort (doubtful)
Head-to-Head (H2H) Record & Summary
| Teams | Result | Red Cards | Yellow Cards | Corners | Free Kicks | Possession | Assists |
| Newcastle Vs Arsenal | 1 – 2 | 0 – 0 | 3 – 2 | 5 – 6 | 11 – 10 | 48% – 52% | 1 – 1 |
| Arsenal Vs Newcastle | 2 – 0 | 0 – 0 | 2 – 3 | 7 – 4 | 9 – 12 | 60% – 40% | 2 – 0 |
| Newcastle Vs Arsenal | 0 – 1 | 0 – 0 | 1 – 4 | 4 – 7 | 12 – 9 | 45% – 55% | 0 – 1 |
| Arsenal Vs Newcastle | 3 – 1 | 0 – 1 | 3 – 2 | 6 – 5 | 8 – 13 | 55% – 45% | 2 – 1 |
| Newcastle Vs Arsenal | 2 – 2 | 1 – 0 | 4 – 1 | 3 – 8 | 13 – 8 | 42% – 58% | 1 – 2 |
H2H Detailed Analysis
Arsenal has the edge in recent head-to-heads with Newcastle, winning 3 of the last 5, scoring 8 goals to 5 for an average of 2.6 per game—often tight with midfield battles key. Arsenal dominates away at St James’ (two wins in two), like the 2-0 with 60% possession, 7 corners, and 2 assists from Ødegaard, frustrating Newcastle’s counters. The 1-2 Newcastle home loss balanced 48% ball and 5 corners for 1 assist each.
The 0-1 Arsenal away had 55% possession and 6 corners. The 3-1 home for Arsenal featured 55% and 6 corners with 2 assists. The 2-2 draw had a red tilting it (8 corners conceded). Key moments: Saka’s curl, Guimarães’ block. Factors: Arsenal’s away steel (unbeaten in last 3 vs top 6) and Newcastle’s home fire (1 win in 2 vs big 6) suggest a close Arsenal win, with 1.4 avg assists from Gunners.
Predicted Lineups
Newcastle Predicted Lineup
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Players: Pope (GK); Trippier (RB), Schär (CB), Burn (CB), Hall (LB); Longstaff (CM), Guimarães (CM), Joelinton (CM); Murphy (RW), Isak (ST), Gordon (LW).
Arsenal Predicted Lineup
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Players: Raya (GK); Timber (RB), Gabriel (CB), Kiwior (CB), Calafiori (LB); Partey (DM), Rice (CM), Ødegaard (CM); Nwaneri (RW), Trossard (ST), Merino (LW).