Hull City
Hull City face Middlesbrough in the Championship, with kick-off listed for 15:30 on Sat 23 May 2026.
Live Score
Hull CityOliver McBurnie 90+5'Live Prediction Based on Live Stats & Data
Live Stats & Data
1 – 3
5 – 7
2 – 0
6 – 2
32% – 68%
0 – 1
1 – 3
1 – 0
0 – 0
Live Final Data Read
Final data read: The match has finished at Hull City 1-0 Middlesbrough.
Live prediction based on the latest score, match stats and available live odds: Hull City 1-0 Middlesbrough.
Original pre-match prediction: Hull City 1-1 Middlesbrough.
Key live signals: Corners 1 – 3 · Shots on target 2 – 0 · Fouls 6 – 2 · Possession 32% – 68%.
Official Lineups
Predicted lineups switch to official team news automatically once the MyFootballPicks Data Engine receives the update.
OFFICIAL
Hull City Official Lineup
Formation
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
Ivor Pandur, Lewie Coyle, Ryan Giles, Charlie Hughes, Semi Ajayi, Liam Millar, Oliver McBurnie, Mohamed Belloumi, John Egan, Matt Crooks, Regan Slater
Substitutes
John Lundstram, Dillon Phillips, Yu Hirakawa, Cody Drameh, Amir Hadziahmetovic, Joe Gelhardt, Kieran Dowell, Lewis Koumas, Patrick James Coleman McNair
Middlesbrough Official Lineup
Formation
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
Callum Brittain, Matt Targett, Dael Fry, Riley McGree, Morgan Whittaker, Luke Ayling, David Strelec, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Adilson Malanda, Sol Brynn
Substitutes
Hayden Hackney, Alex Gilbert, Sam Silvera, Leo Castledine, George Edmundson, Sontje Hansen, Joe Wildsmith, Cruz Ibeh, Jeremy Sarmiento
Quick Stats
Original Predicted Score
Expected goals: Hull City 0.97 vs Middlesbrough 1.06.
The model sees a tight match shape.
Last-4 team form now has a stronger impact on the scoreline, including goals scored and conceded.
Last 3 head-to-head scores are included for score shape, BTTS and total-goals direction.
Odds are used to correct winner/draw direction, not as the only prediction source.
Best Data Angle
Over 1.5 total goals
Match Preview
The match preview is built from the latest MyFootballPicks Data Engine data, including form, H2H, xG, market signals and player-level indicators.
Best Football Insights
The strongest data-led angles are split by confidence so readers can scan the safer options, balanced picks and higher-risk plays without digging through a wall of text.
Safer data-led angles with the strongest confidence profile.
3 angles
Over 1.5 total goals
Shots, chances, xG and player attacking output support the total-goals angle.
Over 9.5 total corners
Uses last-4 match corner data, H2H context where available, crosses, key passes and blocked shots to set a usable corner line.
Middlesbrough to win
Direct match-result pick based on ranking edge, home/away context, attacking output, xG and available odds probability.
Balanced options where the data is positive but the risk is a little higher.
3 angles
David Strelec shot on target angle
Player shot volume and xG/xGoT data make this a player-prop shortlist.
Riley McGree first goalscorer / anytime scorer
The strongest player-level scoring signal from goals, shots, shots on target, xG and chances created.
BTTS check
Uses both teams attacking output and whether each side has enough xG/shot pressure.
Bigger-variance options to treat more cautiously.
3 angles
Draw
Used as a higher-variance direct draw angle when win probabilities are close or the draw price has enough implied support.
Cagey first-half / half-time draw check
A variance angle built from lower attacking pressure, draw probability and the chance of a slower first half.
Small-stakes correct-score shortlist
High-risk angle only. It uses expected-goal shape, favourite strength and match balance to flag scoreline markets without treating them as safe.
Markets to Approach with Caution
Higher-variance markets such as correct score and first goalscorer should be treated cautiously unless the data and price both support the selection.
Recent Form and Head-to-Head
The recent form and head-to-head tables below show the last five available matches or meetings returned by the MyFootballPicks Data Engine.
Last 5 Matches Form
Hull City Last 5 Matches
| Date | Fixture | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 4 Oct 2025 | Hull City vs Sheffield United | 1-0 | Championship |
| Tue 30 Sep 2025 | Hull City vs Preston North End | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sat 27 Sep 2025 | Watford vs Hull City | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sat 20 Sep 2025 | Hull City vs Southampton | 3-1 | Championship |
Middlesbrough Last 5 Matches
| Date | Fixture | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 17 Oct 2025 | Middlesbrough vs Ipswich Town | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sat 4 Oct 2025 | Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Championship |
| Tue 30 Sep 2025 | Middlesbrough vs Stoke City | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sat 27 Sep 2025 | Southampton vs Middlesbrough | 1-1 | Championship |
Last 5 Head-to-Head Meetings
| Date | Fixture | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 23 May 2026 | Hull City vs Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mon 29 Dec 2025 | Middlesbrough vs Hull City | 0-1 | Championship |
| Fri 5 Dec 2025 | Hull City vs Middlesbrough | 1-4 | Championship |
Team News Impact
When official lineups are available, this section reflects how the starting XIs change the betting view.
Ivor Pandur, Lewie Coyle, Ryan Giles, Charlie Hughes
Callum Brittain, Matt Targett, Dael Fry, Riley McGree
When official lineups are detected, this same post is updated rather than duplicated, and this team-news section is refreshed with the latest MyFootballPicks Data Engine view.
Tactical Setup
The tactical setup is based on the likely personnel, recent match pattern and available player data.
Players to Watch
The players to watch are taken from recent output, attacking contribution and market/player-prop signals.
Player watch
78%
Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, assist signal
77%
Middlesbrough · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend
73%
Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, assist signal
70%
last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend
69%
Middlesbrough · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend
69%
last-4 scorer signal, assist signal
67%
Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend
66%
Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend
65%
Middlesbrough · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend
62%
Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, assist signal
Match Angle Ideas
Bet builder ideas should be treated as combinations of data-led angles, not guaranteed outcomes.
67%
- Middlesbrough to win68% · Match result
- Over 1.5 total goals80% · Goals
- Under 11 total corners74% · Corners
- Under 4.5 total cards78% · Cards
Direct result or goals angle mixed with corners/cards. No double chance and no duplicate market families.
67%
- Middlesbrough67% · Team to score first
- Over 9.5 total corners70% · Corners
- Over 2.5 total cards68% · Cards
- Under 22.5 fouls78% · Fouls
Uses team scoring pressure with realistic corners, cards and fouls lines so the builder is not just another result bet.
45%
- Ryan Giles66% · Anytime player to score
- BTTS check66% · Both teams to score
- Enis Destan62% · Player to be subbed off
- Oliver McBurnie62% · Player to score first
Uses one player scorer angle only, then mixes it with totals, corners and cards.
45%
- Draw45% · Draw angle
- Riley McGree first goalscorer / anytime scorer59% · First goalscorer
- David Strelec shot on target angle57% · Player shots
- Correct score 0-145% · Correct score
A different middle-risk builder using match result/BTTS plus realistic fouls/cards lines where data supports them.
20%
- Oliver McBurnie44% · Player to score first
- Enis Destan44% · Player to be subbed off
- Under 11 total corners44% · Corners
- Under 4.5 total cards44% · Cards
First goalscorer or subbed-off angle combined with corners/cards for a higher-variance builder.
18%
- Correct score 0-130% · Correct score
- Under 22.5 fouls44% · Fouls
- Under 4.5 total cards44% · Cards
- Over 1.5 total goals44% · Goals
Uses draw/correct-score style risk with realistic fouls/cards lines where the data points to a bigger price.
Special Markets to Consider
Corners, cards, fouls and goalscorer markets are included where the dashboard data supports them.
Corners prediction
74%
Uses last-4 corner totals, H2H context where available, crosses, blocked shots, key passes and corner xG to set the corner line.
Fouls prediction
78%
Uses last-4 foul pressure, referee-style data where available, tackles, duels and card pressure to set a realistic fouls line.
Cards prediction
78%
Uses last-4 cards, H2H context where available, fouls, tackles and defensive duel pressure to set the card line.
Team to score first
52%
The first-goal team is driven by attacking output, xG, shots-on-target and last-4 player event signals.
First goalscorer prediction
62%
First-goalscorer is higher risk. This pick is ranked from last-4 goal and penalty events first, then player goal, shot and xG data where returned.
Anytime scorer prediction
74%
Anytime scorer is ranked from last-4 goal events plus goals, xG, shots on target and chance involvement where returned.
Likely player subbed off
62%
Subbed-off prediction uses last-4 substitution events first, then starter/minutes/rating signals where lineup data is returned.
The Data-Led View
The data-led view brings together the score prediction, best angle, form trend, H2H pattern and lineup status.
Data-Led Match Analysis
Form and Match Context
Hull City's Recent Run
Hull City come into this Championship fixture with Beat Sheffield United 1-0 as part of the recent form read. The important point is what that says about their confidence and control, because a side that starts well here can make the preview feel very different from the first whistle.
Middlesbrough's Recent Run
Middlesbrough arrive with Beat Ipswich Town 2-1 shaping the away-side context. That matters because their result pattern gives the best steer on whether they can travel with belief or whether this becomes a test of defensive concentration.
What the Form Means for This Fixture
The form angle points to a game that should be judged through momentum, territory and how quickly either team settles. If the early stages become stretched, the side with the cleaner final-third detail should get the better chances.
Attacking Threats
How Hull City Can Create Chances
Hull City can make this awkward if Oliver McBurnie, Ryan Giles, Adam Armstrong are brought into the game early. Their route to chances is about turning pressure into useful balls around the box rather than letting possession become harmless.
How Middlesbrough Can Create Chances
Middlesbrough need Hayden Hackney, Adam Armstrong, Matt Targett to give them a reliable outlet. That matters because an away side that carries a threat on transition can stop Hull City from pushing too many players forward.
Players Who Could Decide the Final Third
The decisive moments are likely to come from the players who can either finish quickly or create one clean chance when the game opens up. If the match is tight, one well-timed run, cross or set-piece delivery could swing the preview.
Defensive Pressure Points
Where Hull City Need to Be Careful
Hull City have to manage the space behind their attacks. That is important because chasing the game too early, or leaving gaps after turnovers, would give Middlesbrough a clearer route than the home side would want.
Where Middlesbrough Need to Be Careful
Middlesbrough cannot allow the match to become a long spell of pressure around their own box. If they defend too deep, second balls, corners and loose clearances can turn into the kind of moments that change a tight fixture.
Fouls, Cards and Set-Piece Risk
Set pieces and discipline matter because they can break the rhythm of the match. In a close preview, cheap fouls near the box or early cards can be just as important as open-play chances.
Head-to-Head Clues
Recent Meetings
The recent meetings sample currently gives 3 matches of context. That should guide the tone of the preview, but the current form, lineups and match tempo still matter more than history alone.
Goals, BTTS and Over 2.5 Pattern
The goals pattern is useful when it supports what both teams are showing now. If the game starts openly, the score projection of 0-1 becomes more relevant because both sides may have enough routes to create chances.
Corners and Cards Pattern
Corners and cards are the clues that show pressure and frustration. If one team spends long spells defending wide areas, those smaller trends can build into a real match factor.
Tactical Match-Up
Hull City's Likely Approach
Hull City are likely to look for a positive home performance without letting the match become too open. The balance is important because their attacking push only helps if they stay protected behind the ball.
Middlesbrough's Likely Approach
Middlesbrough should try to stay compact, protect central areas and use their attacking players when the game stretches. That approach gives them a way into the match without relying on long spells of possession.
Key Player Duels
The key duels should come in wide areas, midfield second balls and the battle between the main forwards and centre-backs. Those individual contests matter because they decide whether the tactical plan turns into real chances.
Editor's Data Verdict
Strongest Match Read
Over 1.5 total goals is the strongest match read, but this should not be treated as a simple certainty. The better editorial view is that the prediction leans one way while still leaving room for the match state to change quickly.
What Could Change the Game
The obvious risks are an early goal, a red card, unexpected team news or one side losing control of the midfield. Any of those would change the way the pre-match read plays out on the pitch.
Hull City vs Middlesbrough FAQs
What is the predicted score?
The current predicted score is 0-1.
Are the lineups confirmed?
The lineup status is updated automatically when official team news is returned by the MyFootballPicks Data Engine.
What are the best football insights?
The best football insights are shown in the Very Likely, Likely and Higher-Risk sections above.
Where can I watch Hull City vs Middlesbrough?
The MyFootballPicks Data Engine lists the following broadcast or streaming options for this fixture: Sky Ultra HD (Republic of Ireland), Sky Ultra HD (England), SKY GO Extra (Republic of Ireland), SKY GO Extra (England), Sky Sports Main Event (Republic of Ireland), Sky Sports Main Event (England), BBC Radio 5 Live (Republic of Ireland), BBC Radio 5 Live (England). Availability can vary by country, subscription and local rights, so check the broadcaster in your region before kick-off.
Use The Data Responsibly
Betting should be treated as entertainment, not a way to make money. Never stake more than you can afford to lose, and avoid chasing losses.

Live Commentary
Match Timeline
Matty Crooks has a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
Match ends with a score of 1-0.
John Lundstram comes on for Regan Slater.
John Lundstram replaces Regan Slater.
Patrick McNair comes on for Lewie Coyle.
Jeremy Sarmiento replaces Alan Browne.
Oliver McBurnie takes a left-footed shot and scores.
Oliver McBurnie receives a yellow card.
Goal! Oliver McBurnie scores to make it 1-0.
Morgan Whittaker takes a left-footed shot but misses.
Aidan Morris takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
Joe Gelhardt takes a left-footed shot but misses.
Luke Ayling attempts a header but misses the shot.
Cody Drameh replaces Belloumi.
Yu Hirakawa is on, and Ryan John Giles is off.
Sontje Hansen replaces Riley McGree.
Hayden Hackney replaces David Strelec.
Joe Gelhardt comes on for Liam Millar.
Belloumi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
David Strelec's right-footed shot is blocked.
Matty Crooks attempts a header but misses the shot.
Dael Fry attempts a header but misses the shot.
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot is blocked.
David Strelec takes a left-footed shot but misses.
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
Oliver McBurnie takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
Belloumi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
David Strelec takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot is saved.
Alan Browne takes a shot with his head but misses.
Ryan John Giles takes a left-footed shot but misses.
Lewie Coyle's header is saved.
David Strelec takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
Aidan Morris takes a right-footed shot but misses.
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot is blocked.