World Cup 2026 Group I: Favourites and Talents to Watch

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Group I has been widely labelled the “Group of Death” of the 2026 World Cup. France, Senegal, Norway and Iraq form a pool with extraordinary firepower at the top of the bracket and tactical organisation throughout. With the toughest average FIFA ranking of any group at the tournament, this is the pool where every match matters and every team has a credible argument for progression. Fixtures in New York-New Jersey, Boston and Philadelphia will host some of the most anticipated football of the group stage.

The Favourites: France

France arrive at the 2026 World Cup as the world’s top-ranked team and one of the clear favourites to lift the trophy. Les Bleus won the 2018 World Cup and reached the 2022 final, and their squad depth is genuinely frightening. Manager Didier Deschamps continues to extract elite performances from a generation of world-class talent. France should top Group I, though the matches will be far from straightforward — particularly the opener against Senegal, a rematch of the iconic 2002 fixture in which the African champions stunned the holders.

The Challengers

Senegal are among Africa’s strongest sides and have advanced from the group stage at each of their last two World Cups. Ranked second in Africa, the Lions of Teranga have a squad packed with European-based talent, tactical maturity and tournament experience. Their opening match against France will be one of the most anticipated fixtures of the entire tournament, and a positive result there could change the dynamic of the entire group.

Norway are returning to the World Cup for the first time since 1998 — a generation-long wait finally ended. The Norwegians qualified emphatically and bring with them one of the most fearsome attacking forces in world football. They are tactically organised, physically robust and capable of swinging any group on the back of individual brilliance.

Iraq are the storybook entrants. Returning to the World Cup after a 40-year absence — their only previous appearance was Mexico 1986 — Iraq’s qualification was one of the most remarkable journeys of the cycle. With regional airspace closures forcing the team to find a workaround and FIFA arranging a charter flight to Mexico for the final qualifier, they beat Bolivia 2-1 to end the long wait. They are the clear outsiders, but the spirit and resilience of this squad should not be underestimated.

Talents to Watch

For France, Kylian Mbappé leads the way. The Real Madrid forward is, on his day, the best player on the planet — and a World Cup is exactly the kind of stage where he tends to deliver his most memorable performances. Around him, the depth is exceptional. Désiré Doué has emerged as a genuine star, his dribbling and creativity adding a new dimension to the French attack. Rayan Cherki offers extraordinary technical quality, while Michael Olise of Bayern Munich brings pace and end-product on the wing. Aurélien Tchouaméni anchors the midfield. The loss of Hugo Ekitike — who ruptured his Achilles in April for Liverpool, ending his 2026 season — was a significant blow, but France’s striker depth allows them to absorb it.

Senegal’s key man is Sadio Mané, even into the later stages of his career. Alongside him, Nicolas Jackson brings Bundesliga as well as Premier League finishing quality, while Ismaïla Sarr offers pace and directness. Idrissa Gana Gueye anchors the midfield with his trademark energy and ball-winning, and goalkeeper Édouard Mendy remains a calming presence at the back.

Norway revolve around Erling Haaland. The Manchester City striker is one of the most lethal finishers world football has seen in a generation, and he can swing a group on his own. Behind him, Martin Ødegaard dictates play with the same quiet authority he brings to Arsenal. Antonio Nusa has emerged as a genuine star on the wing, while Sander Berge anchors the midfield. Norway have, finally, the supporting cast worthy of their two superstars.

For Iraq, Aymen Hussein leads the attack, while Ali Jasim brings technical quality. The squad’s spirit and tactical discipline will be their strongest weapons.

How the Group Could Unfold

The opening matchday is loaded: France vs Senegal in New York-New Jersey is the marquee fixture of the entire group stage, while Iraq vs Norway in Boston offers the chance for the underdogs to make a statement. The matchday two clash between France and Iraq, and matchday three’s Senegal vs Norway, could be decisive for second place.

A predicted finish: France top, with Senegal and Norway battling for second and the loser of that battle still likely to advance as a best third-placed team.

Final Word

Group I is the marquee group of the 2026 World Cup. With three genuine contenders, world-class individuals at every turn and a remarkable underdog story in Iraq, every fixture has weight. Mbappé vs Haaland, the France-Senegal rematch, Iraq’s return after 40 years — this is the group that will define the early stages of the tournament.

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