Monaco vs LOSC Lille: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Monaco vs LOSC Lille in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Monaco vs LOSC Lille
Competition Ligue 1
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Stade Louis II.

Match Prediction: Monaco 1-1 LOSC Lille

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Monaco39.76%
LOSC Lille36.01%
Draw24.20%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes62.43%
No37.57%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes60.87%
No39.13%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 24 Aug 2025 690LOSC Lille vs 6789Monaco 1 – 0 Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 22 Feb 2025 690LOSC Lille vs 6789Monaco 2 – 1 Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 18 Oct 2024 6789Monaco vs 690LOSC Lille 0 – 0 Stade Louis II.
Ligue 1 24 Apr 2024 6789Monaco vs 690LOSC Lille 1 – 0 Stade Louis II.
Ligue 1 29 Oct 2023 690LOSC Lille vs 6789Monaco 2 – 0 Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Monaco come in with mixed recent league results, but they have still been finding the net regularly, scoring in four of their last five. LOSC Lille have been harder to beat, with clean sheets against Nice and Paris in their last three league games before the draw with Le Havre. That points to a tight contest at Stade Louis II, with Monaco’s attacking quality up against Lille’s more controlled recent defensive record.

The head-to-head data also leans towards a close game, with three of the last five meetings decided by a single goal and one ending level. Monaco’s home edge could matter, but Lille have already won twice in this sequence and will not be overawed. Match Prediction: Monaco 1-1 LOSC Lille

Form Guide & Team Overview

Monaco

Monaco’s recent league form has been a bit up and down, but they are still picking up points. They beat Metz 2-1 away, drew 2-2 with Toulouse away and 2-2 with Auxerre at home, and also had a 1-4 loss at Paris before beating Olympique Marseille 2-1 at home.

That run suggests Monaco are capable of scoring in most games, but they have also been open at the back. The pattern is one of competitive matches rather than control, which fits a side that can both threaten and be threatened.

Monaco Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 3513Metz vs 6789Monaco 1 – 2 W Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 25 Apr 2026 289Toulouse vs 6789Monaco 2 – 2 D Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 6789Monaco vs 3682Auxerre 2 – 2 D Stade Louis II.
Ligue 1 10 Apr 2026 4508Paris vs 6789Monaco 4 – 1 L Stade Jean Bouin
Ligue 1 5 Apr 2026 6789Monaco vs 44Olympique Marseille 2 – 1 W Stade Louis II.

LOSC Lille

LOSC Lille have put together a stronger recent league sequence, even if the last result was a 1-1 draw with Le Havre. Before that they beat Paris 1-0 away, drew 0-0 with Nice at home, and recorded convincing wins over Toulouse and Lens.

The main takeaway is that Lille have been difficult to break down and have kept their results tidy. They have also shown they can win away from home, which gives them a solid platform going into this trip.

LOSC Lille Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 3 May 2026 690LOSC Lille vs 1055Le Havre 1 – 1 D Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 4508Paris vs 690LOSC Lille 0 – 1 W Stade Jean Bouin
Ligue 1 18 Apr 2026 690LOSC Lille vs 450Nice 0 – 0 D Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 12 Apr 2026 289Toulouse vs 690LOSC Lille 0 – 4 W Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 4 Apr 2026 690LOSC Lille vs 271Lens 3 – 0 W Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Team News & Injury Report

Monaco

  • Stanis Idumbo (Shoulder Injury)

LOSC Lille

  • Marius Broholm (Dead Leg)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Monaco vs LOSC Lille predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Monaco (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Lukas Hradecky (Goalkeeper), Christian Mawissa (Defender), Denis Zakaria (Defender), Thilo Kehrer (Defender), J. Teze (Midfielder), Lamine Camara (Midfielder), Paul Pogba (Midfielder), Simon Adingra (Midfielder), Aleksandr Golovin (Attacker), Folarin Balogun (Attacker), Maghnes Akliouche (Attacker)

Monaco’s 3-4-2-1 should give them width from the wing-backs and enough bodies between the lines to support Aleksandr Golovin and the forward line. If J. Teze and Lamine Camara can help Monaco progress the ball cleanly, they should be able to get Folarin Balogun into useful areas.

LOSC Lille (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Berke Özer (Goalkeeper), Aïssa Mandi (Defender), Nathan Ngoy (Defender), Romain Perraud (Defender), Thomas Meunier (Defender), Ayyoub Bouaddi (Midfielder), Benjamin André (Midfielder), Félix Correia (Midfielder), Hákon Arnar Haraldsson (Midfielder), Ngal'ayel Mukau (Midfielder), Matías Fernández-Pardo (Attacker)

LOSC Lille’s 4-2-3-1 gives them a compact base with two midfielders screening the defence and a clear route to feed Matías Fernández-Pardo. With Félix Correia and Hákon Arnar Haraldsson operating behind the striker, Lille should have enough support to counter Monaco’s back three.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Monaco LOSC Lille Text
Monaco LOSC Lille Aleksandr Golovin against Aïssa Mandi could be decisive if Golovin finds space between the lines and forces Mandi to defend facing his own goal.
Monaco LOSC Lille J. Teze against Ayyoub Bouaddi looks important in midfield, with both players likely to shape how quickly each side can move the ball forward.
Monaco LOSC Lille Aleksandr Golovin is key for Monaco because the recent lineups show him in a central attacking role, where he can link play and create chances.
Monaco LOSC Lille Matías Fernández-Pardo is key for LOSC Lille because he leads the line in the predicted 4-2-3-1 and gives Lille their main direct threat.

FAQs

How to watch Monaco vs LOSC Lille

Monaco vs LOSC Lille at 20:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Monaco vs LOSC Lille?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Monaco 1-1 LOSC Lille in this match.

Can you bet on Monaco vs LOSC Lille?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Monaco vs LOSC Lille.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.93%
No 69.07%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.76%
No 91.24%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Monaco 28.38%
LOSC Lille 28.71%
Draw 42.92%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.94%
No 6.66%
Equal 6.40%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.77%
No 18.23%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.69%
No 60.31%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.76%
No 28.24%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.84%
No 81.16%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.82%
No 93.18%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.63%
No 22.14%
Equal 11.23%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.02%
No 45.72%
Equal 12.26%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Monaco / Monaco 19.80%
Monaco / LOSC Lille 3.33%
Monaco / Draw 6.25%
LOSC Lille / Monaco 2.62%
LOSC Lille / LOSC Lille 20.96%
LOSC Lille / Draw 5.06%
Draw / Draw 15.81%
Draw / Monaco 13.07%
Draw / LOSC Lille 13.10%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.68%
OTHER 1 8.39%
1-2 8.11%
2-1 8.09%
1-0 6.95%
OTHER 2 6.45%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Monaco 44.73%
LOSC Lille 50.41%
Draw 4.86%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.28%
No 33.37%
Equal 12.35%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.93%
No 57.98%
Equal 11.10%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.68%
No 69.07%
Equal 9.25%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Monaco 63.96%
Draw / LOSC Lille 60.21%
Monaco / LOSC Lille 75.77%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.29%
No 75.71%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.08%
No 24.92%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.04%
No 54.96%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.86%
No 13.06%
Equal 9.07%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.91%
No 58.09%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.33%
No 2.82%
Equal 3.84%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.68%
No 78.32%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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