Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille
Competition Ligue 1
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Stade Océane

Match Prediction: Le Havre 1-1 Olympique Marseille

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Le Havre26.55%
Olympique Marseille50.18%
Draw23.27%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes59.33%
No40.67%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes57.84%
No42.16%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 18 Oct 2025 44Olympique Marseille vs 1055Le Havre 6 – 2 Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 10 May 2025 1055Le Havre vs 44Olympique Marseille 1 – 3 Stade Océane
Ligue 1 05 Jan 2025 44Olympique Marseille vs 1055Le Havre 5 – 1 Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 19 May 2024 1055Le Havre vs 44Olympique Marseille 1 – 2 Stade Océane
Ligue 1 08 Oct 2023 44Olympique Marseille vs 1055Le Havre 3 – 0 Stade Vélodrome

Le Havre have been remarkably hard to beat, with five straight league draws and four of those finishing 1-1, so they look set up to keep this tight again at Stade Océane. Olympique Marseille arrive with a mixed run and three defeats in their last five league matches, but they have still shown enough quality to score in the right moments, as seen in the 3-1 win over Metz. With no xG data available, the safest read is a cagey contest where Le Havre’s resilience meets Marseille’s greater attacking threat.

The head-to-head record leans clearly towards Olympique Marseille, who have won four of the last five meetings and scored freely in several of them. Even so, Le Havre’s recent habit of drawing rather than losing suggests they can make this awkward if they stay organised and keep the game level for long spells. Match Prediction: Le Havre 1-2 Olympique Marseille

Form Guide & Team Overview

Le Havre

Le Havre come into this one on a five-match league run of draws, which tells its own story about how difficult they are to break down. They have shared the points with LOSC Lille, Metz, Angers SCO, Nice and Auxerre, and four of those games finished 1-1.

The 4-4 draw with Metz stands out as the only high-scoring outlier in that sequence, but even there Le Havre found a way to stay in the game. Overall, their recent results point to a side that is competitive, organised and rarely out of contention.

Le Havre Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 3 May 2026 690LOSC Lille vs 1055Le Havre 1 – 1 D Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 1055Le Havre vs 3513Metz 4 – 4 D Stade Océane
Ligue 1 18 Apr 2026 776Angers SCO vs 1055Le Havre 1 – 1 D Stade Raymond Kopa
Ligue 1 12 Apr 2026 450Nice vs 1055Le Havre 1 – 1 D Allianz Riviera
Ligue 1 5 Apr 2026 1055Le Havre vs 3682Auxerre 1 – 1 D Stade Océane

Olympique Marseille

Olympique Marseille’s recent league form has been less stable, with three defeats, one draw and one win in their last five. They lost away to Nantes and Lorient, drew at home with Nice, beat Metz 3-1, and also went down 1-2 at Monaco.

That mix suggests Marseille have not been consistently reliable, especially away from home. Still, the win over Metz shows they can be effective when they get on the front foot, and they have enough attacking quality to trouble Le Havre.

Olympique Marseille Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 59Nantes vs 44Olympique Marseille 3 – 0 L Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 44Olympique Marseille vs 450Nice 1 – 1 D Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 18 Apr 2026 9257Lorient vs 44Olympique Marseille 2 – 0 L Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 10 Apr 2026 44Olympique Marseille vs 3513Metz 3 – 1 W Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 5 Apr 2026 6789Monaco vs 44Olympique Marseille 2 – 1 L Stade Louis II.

Team News & Injury Report

Le Havre

  • Noam Obougou (Groin Injury)

Olympique Marseille

  • Bilal Nadir (Hamstring Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Le Havre (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Mory Diaw (Goalkeeper), Ayumu Seko (Defender), Gautier Lloris (Defender), Loïc Nego (Defender), Yanis Zouaoui (Defender), Fodé Doucouré (Midfielder), Issa Soumaré (Midfielder), Lucas Gourna-Douath (Midfielder), Simon Ebonog (Midfielder), Sofiane Boufal (Midfielder), Ally Samatta (Attacker)

Le Havre’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact base, with the double pivot helping protect the back four and keep Marseille’s central runners in check. The three attacking midfielders can then support Ally Samatta quickly when Le Havre look to break out.

Olympique Marseille (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Jeffrey de Lange (Goalkeeper), Emerson (Defender), Facundo Medina (Defender), Leonardo Balerdi (Defender), Tochukwu Nnadi (Defender), Arthur Vermeeren (Midfielder), Hamed Junior Traoré (Midfielder), Mason Greenwood (Midfielder), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Midfielder), Quinten Timber (Midfielder), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Attacker)

Olympique Marseille’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a strong central spine, with Arthur Vermeeren and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg able to control the middle and feed the attacking line. That should also leave Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang with service between the lines and in the box if Marseille move the ball cleanly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Le Havre Olympique Marseille Text
Le Havre Olympique Marseille Ally Samatta will need to work hard against Emerson, because Le Havre’s best route may be through direct attacks and quick transitions.
Le Havre Olympique Marseille Fodé Doucouré against Arthur Vermeeren could shape the midfield battle, with Le Havre needing to disrupt Marseille’s rhythm early.
Le Havre Olympique Marseille Ally Samatta is key for Le Havre because their recent results suggest they need a reliable outlet to turn tight games into chances.
Le Havre Olympique Marseille Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is key for Olympique Marseille because Marseille’s recent lineups show him as the main attacking reference in a 4-2-3-1.

FAQs

How to watch Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille

Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille at 20:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Le Havre 1-1 Olympique Marseille in this match.

Can you bet on Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Le Havre vs Olympique Marseille.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.99%
No 20.01%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Le Havre 49.82%
Draw / Olympique Marseille 73.45%
Le Havre / Olympique Marseille 76.73%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.67%
OTHER 2 9.92%
1-2 9.63%
0-1 8.78%
0-2 7.61%
2-2 6.18%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.87%
No 6.71%
Equal 6.42%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.52%
No 74.48%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10%
No 90%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.29%
No 2.84%
Equal 3.86%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.80%
No 13.13%
Equal 9.08%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Le Havre / Le Havre 12.67%
Le Havre / Olympique Marseille 4.06%
Le Havre / Draw 5.21%
Olympique Marseille / Le Havre 2.23%
Olympique Marseille / Olympique Marseille 32.10%
Olympique Marseille / Draw 5.07%
Draw / Draw 12.99%
Draw / Le Havre 8.60%
Draw / Olympique Marseille 17.07%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Le Havre 21.10%
Olympique Marseille 40.34%
Draw 38.56%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.29%
No 48.71%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.43%
No 63.57%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.34%
No 35.66%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.69%
No 88.31%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.82%
No 96.18%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.59%
No 22.20%
Equal 11.21%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.85%
No 68.94%
Equal 9.20%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.82%
No 20.18%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Le Havre 35.20%
Olympique Marseille 59.75%
Draw 5.05%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.79%
No 68.21%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.09%
No 45.72%
Equal 12.20%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.06%
No 68.94%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.24%
No 78.76%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.28%
No 33.41%
Equal 12.31%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.06%
No 57.91%
Equal 11.03%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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