Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais
Competition Ligue 1
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Stadium de Toulouse

Match Prediction: Toulouse 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Toulouse28.18%
Olympique Lyonnais44.53%
Draw27.32%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes50.59%
No49.41%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes46.93%
No53.07%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 05 Oct 2025 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 289Toulouse 1 – 2 Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 18 Jan 2025 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 289Toulouse 0 – 0 Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 29 Sep 2024 289Toulouse vs 79Olympique Lyonnais 1 – 2 Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 15 Mar 2024 289Toulouse vs 79Olympique Lyonnais 2 – 3 Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 10 Dec 2023 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 289Toulouse 3 – 0 Groupama Stadium

Toulouse come into this with mixed recent league form, but they have at least shown they can score in their last three league matches. Olympique Lyonnais arrive in better shape, with four wins from their last five in the league and a run that includes beating Paris Saint Germain away. That points to Lyon having the stronger momentum, although Toulouse’s home draw with Monaco suggests they can make this awkward.

The head-to-head record is fairly competitive, with Toulouse winning the most recent meeting away from home and the sides also drawing in January. Even so, Lyon have had the better overall results across the last five league games and have been more reliable at both ends. If Toulouse can get Jacen Russell-Rowe involved early, they have a route into the game, but Lyon’s recent scoring form makes them the more convincing side on paper. Match Prediction: Toulouse 1-2 Olympique Lyonnais

Form Guide & Team Overview

Toulouse

Toulouse’s league form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. The most recent result was a 2-1 win away at Strasbourg, which followed a 2-2 home draw with Monaco, so there are signs they can compete against stronger opposition.

Before that, though, Toulouse lost three in a row in the league, including a 0-4 home defeat to LOSC Lille and a 1-3 loss away to Paris Saint Germain. The all-competitions table shows the same pattern, with the Coupe de France loss to Lens adding to a run where they have been conceding too many goals.

Toulouse Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 3 May 2026 686Strasbourg vs 289Toulouse 1 – 2 W Stade de la Meinau
Ligue 1 25 Apr 2026 289Toulouse vs 6789Monaco 2 – 2 D Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 17 Apr 2026 271Lens vs 289Toulouse 3 – 2 L Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Ligue 1 12 Apr 2026 289Toulouse vs 690LOSC Lille 0 – 4 L Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 3 Apr 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 289Toulouse 3 – 1 L Parc des Princes

Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais are in much better league form, with four wins and one draw from their last five. Their latest result was a 4-2 home win over Rennes, and that came after a 3-2 home victory against Auxerre and a 2-1 away win at Paris Saint Germain.

They have also kept things solid enough to beat Lorient 2-0 and draw 0-0 away at Angers SCO in that run. Across the recent results, Lyon have been scoring regularly and have not been relying on narrow margins alone, which gives them a stronger recent profile than Toulouse.

Olympique Lyonnais Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 3 May 2026 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 598Rennes 4 – 2 W Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 25 Apr 2026 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 3682Auxerre 3 – 2 W Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 79Olympique Lyonnais 1 – 2 W Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 12 Apr 2026 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 9257Lorient 2 – 0 W Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 5 Apr 2026 776Angers SCO vs 79Olympique Lyonnais 0 – 0 D Stade Raymond Kopa

Team News & Injury Report

Toulouse

  • Mario Sauer (Yellow Card Suspension)

Olympique Lyonnais

  • Orel Mangala (Dead Leg)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Toulouse (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Guillaume Restes (Goalkeeper), Charlie Cresswell (Defender), Mark McKenzie (Defender), Rasmus Nicolaisen (Defender), Alexis Vossah (Midfielder), Aron Dønnum (Midfielder), Cristian Cásseres Jr. (Midfielder), Dayann Methalie (Midfielder), Jacen Russell-Rowe (Attacker), Santiago Hidalgo (Attacker), Yann Gboho (Attacker)

Toulouse’s 3-4-2-1 should give them a compact base with Jacen Russell-Rowe supported by runners from deeper areas. The wing-backs and central midfielders will need to help them progress the ball quickly if they are to trouble Lyon’s back four.

Olympique Lyonnais (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Dominik Greif (Goalkeeper), Abner (Defender), Ainsley Maitland-Niles (Defender), Clinton Mata (Defender), Moussa Niakhaté (Defender), Afonso Moreira (Midfielder), Corentin Tolisso (Midfielder), Endrick (Midfielder), Khalis Merah (Midfielder), Tyler Morton (Midfielder), Roman Yaremchuk (Attacker)

Olympique Lyonnais’ 4-2-3-1 gives them a clear structure, with Roman Yaremchuk leading the line and support arriving from the three behind him. The double pivot should help them control transitions and give the wide and central attackers a platform to press Toulouse’s back three.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais Text
Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais Jacen Russell-Rowe against Abner could be important if Toulouse want to stretch Lyon down that side and create space between the lines.
Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais Alexis Vossah against Afonso Moreira may shape the midfield battle, with both players likely to be involved in linking play and covering ground.
Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais Jacen Russell-Rowe is key for Toulouse because he has been part of their recent attacking set-up and will need to provide the main threat in the final third.
Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais Roman Yaremchuk is key for Olympique Lyonnais because he leads the line in a side that has been scoring consistently in recent league matches.

FAQs

How to watch Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais

Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais at 20:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Toulouse 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais in this match.

Can you bet on Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Toulouse 24.84%
Olympique Lyonnais 33.39%
Draw 41.77%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.51%
No 58.49%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.38%
No 71.62%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.65%
No 82.35%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.67%
No 37.33%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.45%
No 28.55%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.19%
No 22.49%
Equal 11.32%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.85%
No 74.15%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.69%
No 6.82%
Equal 6.50%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.88%
No 26.12%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 53.77%
No 33.81%
Equal 12.42%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.49%
No 46.23%
Equal 12.28%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.41%
No 58.51%
Equal 11.08%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Toulouse / Toulouse 15.94%
Toulouse / Olympique Lyonnais 3.37%
Toulouse / Draw 5.75%
Olympique Lyonnais / Toulouse 2.15%
Olympique Lyonnais / Olympique Lyonnais 26.14%
Olympique Lyonnais / Draw 5.25%
Draw / Draw 15.23%
Draw / Toulouse 10.07%
Draw / Olympique Lyonnais 16.12%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.81%
No 86.19%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.41%
No 69.59%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.81%
No 90.19%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.18%
No 2.90%
Equal 3.92%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.63%
No 97.37%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.86%
No 94.14%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.16%
0-1 11.09%
1-2 9.16%
0-0 8.96%
1-0 8.51%
0-2 7.83%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.51%
No 13.31%
Equal 9.18%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Toulouse 40.47%
Olympique Lyonnais 50.57%
Draw 8.96%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Toulouse 55.50%
Draw / Olympique Lyonnais 71.85%
Toulouse / Olympique Lyonnais 72.71%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.21%
No 69.59%
Equal 9.20%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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