VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Competition Bundesliga
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 14:30 BST
Venue MHPArena

Match Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

VfB Stuttgart40.57%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen35.68%
Draw23.78%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes61.40%
No38.59%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes59.83%
No40.17%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Bundesliga 10 Jan 2026 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 1 – 4 BayArena
Bundesliga 16 Mar 2025 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 – 4 MHPArena
Bundesliga 01 Nov 2024 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 0 – 0 BayArena
Bundesliga 27 Apr 2024 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 2 – 2 BayArena
Bundesliga 10 Dec 2023 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 – 1 MHPArena

VfB Stuttgart come into this with a mixed run, but their recent home results suggest they can still make this awkward for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. The 4-0 win over Hamburger SV and the 1-1 draw with Werder Bremen show they can compete at home, even if the 0-2 loss to Borussia Dortmund is a reminder that they are not always secure at the back.

Leverkusen have been more consistent in the league results provided, with wins over RB Leipzig, FC Köln and Borussia Dortmund in their last five. They have also been involved in higher-scoring games, including the 4-1 win over RB Leipzig and the 6-3 win over VfL Wolfsburg, so there is enough evidence to expect chances at both ends. Match Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Form Guide & Team Overview

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart’s recent league form is patchy, with two draws, one win and two defeats in their last five. The 3-3 draw at TSG Hoffenheim and the 1-1 draw with Werder Bremen show they can stay in games, but the 2-4 loss at FC Bayern München and the 0-2 home defeat to Borussia Dortmund point to defensive issues.

There is still some attacking output to work with, especially after the 4-0 home win over Hamburger SV. That mix of goals scored and goals conceded suggests Stuttgart are capable of making this competitive, but they have not been especially reliable.

VfB Stuttgart Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 2 May 2026 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 3 – 3 D PreZero Arena
Bundesliga 26 Apr 2026 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 1 D MHPArena
Bundesliga 19 Apr 2026 503FC Bayern München vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 4 – 2 L Allianz Arena
Bundesliga 12 Apr 2026 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 2708Hamburger SV 4 – 0 W MHPArena
Bundesliga 4 Apr 2026 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 68Borussia Dortmund 0 – 2 L MHPArena

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s recent league form is stronger, with four wins from their last five and only one defeat. The wins over RB Leipzig, FC Köln, Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg show a side that has been finding results consistently, both home and away.

Their results also suggest they can score freely, particularly in the 4-1 win over RB Leipzig and the 6-3 win over VfL Wolfsburg. The 1-2 loss to FC Augsburg is the main blemish, but overall the trend is still positive.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 2 May 2026 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 277RB Leipzig 4 – 1 W BayArena
Bundesliga 25 Apr 2026 3320FC Köln vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 – 2 W RheinEnergieStadion
Bundesliga 18 Apr 2026 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 90FC Augsburg 1 – 2 L BayArena
Bundesliga 11 Apr 2026 68Borussia Dortmund vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 – 1 W Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga 4 Apr 2026 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 6 – 3 W BayArena

Team News & Injury Report

VfB Stuttgart

  • Finn Jeltsch (Injury To Abdominal Muscles)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

  • Lucas Vázquez (Knock)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

VfB Stuttgart (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Alexander Nübel (Goalkeeper), Jeff Chabot (Defender), Josha Vagnoman (Defender), Luca Jaquez (Defender), Ramon Hendriks (Defender), Angelo Stiller (Midfielder), Atakan Karazor (Midfielder), Bilal El Khannouss (Midfielder), Chris Führich (Midfielder), Jamie Leweling (Midfielder), Deniz Undav (Attacker)

VfB Stuttgart’s 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base, with Angelo Stiller and Atakan Karazor helping to screen the defence and keep the ball moving. The shape also gives Deniz Undav support from Bilal El Khannouss, Chris Führich and Jamie Leweling, which should help Stuttgart get bodies around the box.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Mark Flekken (Goalkeeper), Edmond Tapsoba (Defender), Jarell Quansah (Defender), Robert Andrich (Defender), Aleix García (Midfielder), Alejandro Grimaldo (Midfielder), Exequiel Palacios (Midfielder), Montrell Culbreath (Midfielder), Ibrahim Maza (Attacker), Nathan Tella (Attacker), Patrik Schick (Attacker)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s 3-4-2-1 should allow them to build from the back and use the width from Alejandro Grimaldo and Montrell Culbreath. With Ibrahim Maza, Nathan Tella and Patrik Schick ahead of them, they have enough forward options to stretch Stuttgart’s back line.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen Text
VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen Deniz Undav will need to find space between the lines against Edmond Tapsoba, because Stuttgart’s best attacking moments are likely to come through him.
VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen Angelo Stiller against Aleix García could shape the midfield rhythm, with both players important to how their sides progress the ball.
VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen Deniz Undav is key for VfB Stuttgart because he is the central attacking reference in the predicted shape and the main route to turning possession into chances.
VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen Ibrahim Maza is key for Bayer 04 Leverkusen because he has been included in the recent and predicted 3-4-2-1, giving Leverkusen an extra attacking link behind Patrik Schick.

FAQs

How to watch VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Fans in the UK are able to watch VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 14:30 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen in this match.

Can you bet on VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
VfB Stuttgart 57%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 38.33%
Draw 4.67%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.19%
No 93.81%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.27%
No 51.16%
Equal 11.57%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.02%
No 78.98%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.96%
No 82.04%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.86%
No 55.14%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.22%
No 1.92%
Equal 2.86%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 64.35%
Draw / Bayer 04 Leverkusen 59.46%
VfB Stuttgart / Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76.25%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.84%
No 39.02%
Equal 12.13%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.27%
No 62.72%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.44%
No 18.56%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.72%
No 59.28%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.12%
No 62.72%
Equal 10.15%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.81%
2-1 8.65%
OTHER 1 8.12%
1-2 8.09%
1-0 7.29%
0-1 6.61%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
VfB Stuttgart 40.71%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 22.15%
Draw 37.13%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.33%
No 28.67%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.98%
No 27.44%
Equal 11.59%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.15%
No 4.78%
Equal 5.07%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.53%
No 9.85%
Equal 7.62%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.68%
No 62.32%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.79%
No 77.21%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.20%
No 24.80%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
VfB Stuttgart / VfB Stuttgart 31.42%
VfB Stuttgart / Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.12%
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 5.58%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen / VfB Stuttgart 3.19%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14.62%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Draw 4.82%
Draw / Draw 13.42%
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 14.96%
Draw / Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8.88%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.39%
No 91.61%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.56%
No 17.47%
Equal 9.97%

For the best Bundesliga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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