Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Date | Saturday, 09 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 14:30 BST |
| Venue | Red Bull Arena |
Match Prediction: RB Leipzig 1-1 St. Pauli
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 27 Jan 2026 |  St. Pauli vs  RB Leipzig |
1 – 1 | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 09 Feb 2025 | RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli |
2 – 0 | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 22 Sep 2024 | St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig |
0 – 0 | Millerntor-Stadion |
RB Leipzig come into this with the stronger recent league form, having won four of their last five before the defeat at Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Their 4-3-3 should give them enough control in midfield and plenty of width through Antonio Nusa and the other forwards, which could stretch St. Pauli’s back three. St. Pauli have taken only one point from their last three league matches, so they may spend long spells trying to stay compact and limit chances.
That said, the head-to-head data suggests this is not always straightforward for RB Leipzig, with the last meeting ending 1-1 and the two before that producing a draw and a Leipzig win. St. Pauli have shown they can make games awkward, but their recent results point to a side struggling for goals and consistency. Match Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-0 St. Pauli
Form Guide & Team Overview
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s league form has been strong overall, with four wins from their last five. They beat FC Union Berlin 3-1 at home, won 3-1 away at Eintracht Frankfurt, edged Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 at home and won 2-1 away at Werder Bremen.
The only setback in that run was the 1-4 loss away to Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Even so, the broader pattern is still positive, and the recent results suggest Leipzig have been finding enough goals to stay in control of matches.
RB Leipzig Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 2 May 2026 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig |
4 – 1 | L | BayArena |
| Bundesliga | 24 Apr 2026 | RB Leipzig vs  FC Union Berlin |
3 – 1 | W | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 18 Apr 2026 |  Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig |
1 – 3 | W | Deutsche Bank Park |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 | RB Leipzig vs  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 – 0 | W | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 4 Apr 2026 |  Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig |
1 – 2 | W | Wohninvest Weserstadion |
St. Pauli
St. Pauli’s recent league form has been patchy, with no wins in their last five. They lost 1-2 at home to FSV Mainz 05 and 0-2 away at Heidenheim, after drawing 1-1 with FC Köln and 1-1 away at FC Union Berlin.
The 0-5 home defeat to FC Bayern München stands out as the heaviest result in that sequence. Overall, the recent table points to a side that has been competitive in spells but has struggled to turn those moments into wins.
St. Pauli Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 3 May 2026 | St. Pauli vs  FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 2 | L | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 |  Heidenheim vs St. Pauli |
2 – 0 | L | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
| Bundesliga | 17 Apr 2026 | St. Pauli vs  FC Köln |
1 – 1 | D | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 | St. Pauli vs  FC Bayern München |
0 – 5 | L | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 5 Apr 2026 | FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli |
1 – 1 | D | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
Team News & Injury Report
RB Leipzig
- Ezechiel Banzuzi (Capsular Injury)
St. Pauli
- Manolis Saliakas (Muscular problems)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
RB Leipzig (4-3-3)
Predicted lineup: Maarten Vandevoordt (Goalkeeper), El Chadaille Bitshiabu (Defender), Max Finkgräfe (Defender), Ridle Baku (Defender), Willi Orbán (Defender), Christoph Baumgartner (Midfielder), Nicolas Seiwald (Midfielder), Xaver Schlager (Midfielder), Antonio Nusa (Attacker), Rômulo (Attacker), Yan Diomande (Attacker)
RB Leipzig’s predicted 4-3-3 should allow them to press high and keep St. Pauli pinned back, with the midfield trio helping them recycle possession quickly. Antonio Nusa and the other attackers can then attack the spaces either side of St. Pauli’s back three.
St. Pauli (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Nikola Vasilj (Goalkeeper), Hauke Wahl (Defender), Karol Mets (Defender), T. Ando (Defender), Arkadiusz Pyrka (Midfielder), Eric Smith (Midfielder), Jackson Irvine (Midfielder), Lars Ritzka (Midfielder), Andréas Hountondji (Attacker), Danel Sinani (Attacker), Joel Chima Fujita (Attacker)
St. Pauli’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid defensive base and enough bodies in midfield to try to slow Leipzig down. Andréas Hountondji should be important as the main forward outlet, with support coming from the two players behind him.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | Text |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | Antonio Nusa against Hauke Wahl could be decisive if Nusa can isolate his marker and drive at the back line. |
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | Christoph Baumgartner against Arkadiusz Pyrka looks important in midfield, where Leipzig will want to create overloads and second balls. |
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | Antonio Nusa is key for RB Leipzig because his direct running can open up St. Pauli’s shape and create chances from wide areas. |
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | Andréas Hountondji is key for St. Pauli because he offers their clearest route to holding the ball up and relieving pressure. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
