New England vs Philadelphia Union: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for New England vs Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 00:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture New England vs Philadelphia Union
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 00:30 BST
Venue Gillette Stadium

Match Prediction: New England 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

New England42.10%
Philadelphia Union33.37%
Draw24.50%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes60.71%
No39.29%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes58.84%
No41.16%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 20 Sep 2025 275Philadelphia Union vs 641New England 1 – 0 Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 09 Mar 2025 641New England vs 275Philadelphia Union 0 – 2 Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Jul 2024 275Philadelphia Union vs 641New England 5 – 1 Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 19 May 2024 641New England vs 275Philadelphia Union 0 – 3 Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 09 Nov 2023 641New England vs 275Philadelphia Union 0 – 1 Gillette Stadium

New England come into this with a strong recent run, having won four of their last five in all competitions and kept three clean sheets in that spell. That suggests they can make this a tight, controlled game at Gillette Stadium, especially with a settled-looking 4-2-3-1 behind them. Philadelphia Union have been harder to beat than to beat others, but their recent sequence includes three draws and a defeat, so they may need to be patient if New England control territory.

The head-to-head data leans towards Philadelphia Union, who have won four of the last five meetings, including the last three in a row. Even so, New England’s current form is better than Philadelphia’s, and the visitors’ recent 0-0s show they can be contained. Match Prediction: New England 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Form Guide & Team Overview

New England

New England arrive in good shape, with four wins and one draw from their last five league matches. They have beaten Charlotte, Atlanta United, Columbus Crew and DC United, while also drawing away at Inter Miami.

The results point to a side that is difficult to break down and capable of edging close games. Three clean sheets in five is a useful sign for bettors looking at a low-scoring contest.

New England Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 641New England vs 260119Charlotte 1 – 0 W Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 641New England 1 – 1 D Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 3645Atlanta United vs 641New England 1 – 2 W Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 641New England vs 577Columbus Crew 2 – 1 W Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 11 Apr 2026 641New England vs 182DC United 1 – 0 W Gillette Stadium

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union’s recent league form is more mixed, with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five. They drew with Nashville SC and DC United, lost away to Columbus Crew, and shared a 3-3 draw with Toronto.

That run suggests they are not easy to put away, but they have not been as consistent as New England. The 0-0s and the 0-2 loss point to a side that can be contained if the opposition stays organised.

Philadelphia Union Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 275Philadelphia Union vs 148048Nashville SC 0 – 0 D Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 577Columbus Crew vs 275Philadelphia Union 2 – 0 L Historic Crew Stadium
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 275Philadelphia Union 3 – 3 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 275Philadelphia Union vs 182DC United 0 – 0 D Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 11 Apr 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 275Philadelphia Union 1 – 2 W Stade Saputo

Team News & Injury Report

New England

  • Matt Polster  (Muscle Injury)

Philadelphia Union

  • Jesús Bueno (Ankle Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

New England vs Philadelphia Union predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

New England (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Matt Turner (Goalkeeper), Ethan Kohler (Defender), Mamadou Fofana (Defender), Peyton Miller (Defender), Will Sands (Defender), Alhassan Yusuf (Midfielder), Brooklyn Raines (Midfielder), Carles Gil (Midfielder), Griffin Yow (Midfielder), Luca Langoni (Midfielder), Dor Turgeman (Attacker)

New England’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base in midfield, with Alhassan Yusuf and Brooklyn Raines helping to screen the defence. Carles Gil can then link play into the attacking line, with Dor Turgeman likely the main reference point up front.

Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Andre Blake (Goalkeeper), Frankie Westfield (Defender), Japhet Sery Larsen (Defender), Nathan Harriel (Defender), Olwethu Makhanya (Defender), Cavan Sullivan (Midfielder), Danley Jean Jacques (Midfielder), Indiana Vassilev (Midfielder), Jovan Lukić (Midfielder), Ezekiel Alladoh (Attacker), Milan Iloski (Attacker)

Philadelphia Union’s predicted 4-4-2 gives them two forwards to work off each other and keep New England’s back line occupied. With Cavan Sullivan and the wide midfielders supporting from deeper areas, they should have enough structure to stay compact and look for quick transitions.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

New England Philadelphia Union Text
New England Philadelphia Union Dor Turgeman will need to find space against Frankie Westfield if New England are to turn possession into chances.
New England Philadelphia Union Alhassan Yusuf’s duel with Cavan Sullivan could shape who controls the middle of the pitch.
New England Philadelphia Union Dor Turgeman is key for New England because he is the main attacking outlet in the predicted shape.
New England Philadelphia Union Ezekiel Alladoh is key for Philadelphia Union because he gives them a central forward threat in a two-man attack.

FAQs

How to watch New England vs Philadelphia Union

New England vs Philadelphia Union at 00:30 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for New England vs Philadelphia Union?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be New England 1-1 Philadelphia Union in this match.

Can you bet on New England vs Philadelphia Union?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for New England vs Philadelphia Union.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.33%
No 78.67%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.28%
No 23.72%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.38%
No 55.56%
Equal 11.06%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.02%
No 66.62%
Equal 9.36%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.25%
No 63.75%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.32%
No 78.68%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.40%
No 94.60%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.20%
No 12.22%
Equal 8.58%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.47%
No 20.80%
Equal 10.74%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.02%
No 75.98%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
New England / New England 22.44%
New England / Philadelphia Union 3.09%
New England / Draw 6.25%
Philadelphia Union / New England 3.19%
Philadelphia Union / Philadelphia Union 19.60%
Philadelphia Union / Draw 5.55%
Draw / Draw 14.20%
Draw / New England 13.67%
Draw / Philadelphia Union 12.02%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / New England 66.60%
Draw / Philadelphia Union 57.87%
New England / Philadelphia Union 75.47%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.78%
No 6.20%
Equal 6.02%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.96%
No 54.04%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
New England 31.23%
Philadelphia Union 28.87%
Draw 39.90%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
New England 48.60%
Philadelphia Union 46.41%
Draw 4.99%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.05%
2-1 8.94%
OTHER 1 8.02%
1-2 7.97%
1-0 7.62%
0-1 6.77%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.49%
No 31.53%
Equal 11.98%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.44%
No 43.51%
Equal 12.05%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16%
No 84%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.31%
No 61.69%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.59%
No 19.41%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.79%
No 30.21%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.32%
No 91.68%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.66%
No 75.98%
Equal 7.36%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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