Lens vs Nantes: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Lens vs Nantes in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Lens vs Nantes
Competition Ligue 1
Date Friday, 08 May 2026
Kick-off 19:45 BST
Venue Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Match Prediction: Lens 1-1 Nantes

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Lens73.53%
Nantes9.31%
Draw17.13%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes46.60%
No53.40%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes59.12%
No40.88%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 06 Dec 2025 59Nantes vs 271Lens 1 – 2 Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 23 Feb 2025 59Nantes vs 271Lens 3 – 1 Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 09 Nov 2024 271Lens vs 59Nantes 3 – 2 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Ligue 1 03 Feb 2024 59Nantes vs 271Lens 0 – 1 Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 28 Oct 2023 271Lens vs 59Nantes 4 – 0 Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens come into this with a run of results that has been lively rather than controlled, and that should suit a game where both sides have shown they can be opened up. Nantes have had a mixed spell too, but their away results have been less convincing than their home win over Olympique Marseille, so the edge looks to sit with the hosts at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Lens have scored in four of their last five league matches, while Nantes have also found the net in four of their last five, so goals at both ends look plausible. The head-to-head record also leans towards Lens, who have won three of the last five meetings, including the most recent one in December 2025. Match Prediction: Lens 2-1 Nantes

Form Guide & Team Overview

Lens

Lens have been involved in plenty of goals in their recent league matches, drawing 1-1 away to Nice and 3-3 away to Brest. Before that, they beat Toulouse 3-2 at home, lost 0-3 away to LOSC Lille, and beat Angers SCO 5-1 at home.

That gives them two wins, two draws and one defeat across the last five league games, with the home form looking stronger than the away form. The recent pattern suggests they are capable of scoring regularly, but they have also been conceding enough to keep things competitive.

Lens Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 450Nice vs 271Lens 1 – 1 D Allianz Riviera
Ligue 1 24 Apr 2026 266Brest vs 271Lens 3 – 3 D Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 17 Apr 2026 271Lens vs 289Toulouse 3 – 2 W Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Ligue 1 4 Apr 2026 690LOSC Lille vs 271Lens 3 – 0 L Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 20 Mar 2026 271Lens vs 776Angers SCO 5 – 1 W Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Nantes

Nantes have had a more uneven league run, starting with a strong 3-0 home win over Olympique Marseille. Since then they have lost 1-2 away to Rennes and 0-3 away to Paris Saint Germain, before drawing 1-1 at home to Brest and 0-0 away to Auxerre.

That leaves them with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five league matches. The away results in particular point to a side that has struggled to impose itself on the road, even if the clean sheet at Auxerre shows they can stay organised at times.

Nantes Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 59Nantes vs 44Olympique Marseille 3 – 0 W Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 598Rennes vs 59Nantes 2 – 1 L Roazhon Park
Ligue 1 22 Apr 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 59Nantes 3 – 0 L Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 59Nantes vs 266Brest 1 – 1 D Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 11 Apr 2026 3682Auxerre vs 59Nantes 0 – 0 D Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Team News & Injury Report

Lens

  • Adrien Thomasson  (Yellow Card Suspension)
  • Mamadou Sangaré (Yellow Card Suspension)

Nantes

  • Fabien Centonze (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
  • Kelvin Amian (Pubalgia)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Lens vs Nantes predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Lens (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Robin Risser (Goalkeeper), Ismaëlo Ganiou (Defender), Malang Sarr (Defender), Samson Baidoo (Defender), TBC (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Matthieu Udol (Midfielder), Saud Abdulhamid (Midfielder), Allan Saint-Maximin (Attacker), Florian Thauvin (Attacker), Odsonne Édouard (Attacker)

Lens’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should give them width from the wing-backs and enough support between the lines for Allan Saint-Maximin and Florian Thauvin to link play behind the striker. With Matthieu Udol in midfield and three centre-backs behind them, they can keep a solid base while still committing numbers forward.

Nantes (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Patrik Carlgren (Goalkeeper), Chidozie Awaziem (Defender), Deiver Machado (Defender), Frédéric Guilbert (Defender), Nicolas Cozza (Defender), Ibrahima Sissoko (Midfielder), Johann Lepenant (Midfielder), Matthis Abline (Midfielder), Mohamed Kaba (Midfielder), Rémy Cabella (Midfielder), Ignatius Ganago (Attacker)

Nantes’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact midfield screen and a clear outlet through the central attacker. With Rémy Cabella and the wide support around Ignatius Ganago, they can look to break quickly if they win the ball in good areas.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Lens Nantes Text
Lens Nantes Allan Saint-Maximin against Chidozie Awaziem could be decisive if Lens can isolate that side and let Saint-Maximin carry the ball at pace.
Lens Nantes Matthieu Udol against Ibrahima Sissoko looks important in midfield, with both sides needing control in the central areas.
Lens Nantes Allan Saint-Maximin is key for Lens because he offers direct running and a likely route to chance creation in the final third.
Lens Nantes Ignatius Ganago is key for Nantes because he is the main attacking reference in the 4-2-3-1 and the clearest route to a goal.

FAQs

How to watch Lens vs Nantes

Lens vs Nantes at 19:45 BST on Friday, 08 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Lens vs Nantes?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Lens 1-1 Nantes in this match.

Can you bet on Lens vs Nantes?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Lens vs Nantes.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Lens 55.49%
Nantes 10.34%
Draw 34.17%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Lens 73.62%
Nantes 21.19%
Draw 5.19%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.12%
No 49.40%
Equal 11.48%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.58%
No 10.42%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.89%
No 60.88%
Equal 10.23%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.93%
No 72.07%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.12%
No 60.88%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.15%
No 96.85%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.51%
No 4.65%
Equal 4.84%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.24%
No 9.49%
Equal 7.27%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.16%
No 57.84%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.37%
No 19.63%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.88%
No 60.12%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.68%
No 16.76%
Equal 9.56%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.47%
No 26.32%
Equal 11.21%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.11%
No 86.89%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.35%
No 1.90%
Equal 2.76%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.76%
No 61.24%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.47%
No 32.53%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.79%
No 77.21%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 0.75%
No 99.25%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 50.60%
No 37.53%
Equal 11.87%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Lens / Lens 54.82%
Lens / Nantes 0.88%
Lens / Draw 2.90%
Nantes / Lens 4.16%
Nantes / Nantes 3.80%
Nantes / Draw 2.71%
Draw / Draw 8.23%
Draw / Lens 19.61%
Draw / Nantes 2.89%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 22.63%
2-0 12.27%
1-0 11.07%
3-0 8.94%
2-1 8.85%
1-1 7.81%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Lens 90.66%
Draw / Nantes 26.44%
Lens / Nantes 82.84%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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